Against Prediction: Profiling, Policing, and Punishing in an Actuarial Age

Actuarial Methods In The Criminal Law -- The Rise Of The Actuarial Paradigm -- Ernest W. Burgess And Parole Prediction -- The Proliferation Of Actuarial Methods In Punishing And Policing -- The Critique Of Actuarial Methods -- The Mathematics Of Actuarial Prediction : The Illusion Of Efficiency -- The Ratchet Effect : An Overlooked Social Cost -- The Pull Of Prediction : Distorting Our Conceptions Of Just Punishment -- Toward A More General Theory Of Punishing And Policing -- A Case Study On Racial Profiling -- Shades Of Gray -- The Virtues Of Randomization. Bernard E. Harcourt. Includes Bibliographical References (p. [311]-329) And Index.